Thursday, October 2, 2008

Games Pollsters Play

If you're ever tempted to geek out on the endless polling conducted on the presidential campaign, you would be well-served to read this overview of some of the games and pitfalls by FiveThirtyEight.com's Nate Silver, which concludes with these recommendations:

For polling averages, you can of course look here [FiveThirtyEight.com]. But otherwise, I would recommend Pollster.com. Pollster.com has the most unbiased standard imaginable: they simply include every poll.

For content aggregation, I would recommend Memeorandum or PoliticsHome, each of whom refresh their material on a 24/7 basis.

We're not asking that you go cold turkey. Do bookmark and continue to read Jay Cost at RCP [RealClearPolitics.com], who is an outstanding analyst.
National politics is, among other things, a massive confidence game, and polling plays a big role in it.

(H/T Occasional Muse)

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